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Bitcoin supply shock: u.s. spot et fs buy 26,700 btc

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Supply Shock Is Here? ETFs Buy 26,700 BTC in May

By

Fatima Ahmed

May 18, 2025, 03:37 PM

2 minutes of reading

Graph showing U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs purchasing 26,700 BTC against miner production of 7,200 BTC in May, illustrating supply imbalance
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A surge in purchases of Bitcoin by U.S. spot ETFs is raising eyebrows among market watchers. In May alone, these funds have bought 26,700 BTC, while miners managed to produce only 7,200 BTC. This disparity sparks debate on the emerging supply dynamics within the crypto market.

Significant Market Movements

In a striking twist, while institutional interest appears to ramp up, some voices in forums claim there's no genuine supply shock. Analysts argue that large volumes of Bitcoin are still available for sale, countering the notion of scarcity. "Every purchase by buyer was also a sale by seller," notes one commentator, suggesting that there remains an active market for Bitcoin at current price levels.

A Divided Community

The conversation in various online forums reflects a split sentiment:

  • Some argue the idea of a supply shock is overrated, claiming that with over 94% of Bitcoin already mined, new production matters little.

  • Others see potential for price increases if Bitcoin continues to transfer to institutions rather than individuals. "It’s good to see coins moving, but" stated a user, pointing to an underlying concern that institutional dominance in ownership might stifle broader participation.

"If anything, there’s too much supply lol. Luckily folks are holding out for a higher price;)."

This ongoing discussion reveals a pressing question: Can institutional buying outweigh the continuous selling pressures from holders and miners?

Key Insights from Recent Activity

Several key points emerge from this situation:

  • β–ͺ️ ETFs purchased 26,700 BTC in May.

  • β–ͺ️ Only 7,200 BTC mined during the same period.

  • β–ͺ️ "New coins don’t contribute much to total supply" argues a forum commenter, stressing past mined volumes impacted current valuation.

Outlook on Bitcoin's Future

As debates continue and prices fluctuate, the focus remains solidly on the balance of supply and demand. How long can ETFs maintain their buying momentum against this backdrop of existing supply? The answer could significantly shape this month's trading strategy for many holders and investors alike.

Predictions on Bitcoin's Journey Ahead

There's a strong probability that institutional buying of Bitcoin will persist, potentially driving prices upward. If ETFs continue purchasing at current rates, experts estimate around a 30% price increase in the near term, fueled by growing demand amidst a limited supply. However, should the selling from miners and other holders continue to exert pressure, we might see a 10-15% price fluctuation depending on market sentiment. The balance between supply from miners and the aggressive purchasing by ETFs will dictate Bitcoin's performance in the coming weeks.

An Uncommon Reflection in History

Looking back, the surge in institutional investments can evoke the dynamics seen during the dot-com boom of the late '90s. Just as savvy investors flocked to tech stocks glimpsing potential without a full understanding of valuations, today’s investors are pouring into Bitcoin, motivated by stories of digital gold and profits. This parallel underlines how narrative and speculation can shape market behaviors, regardless of underlying metrics, reminding us that excitement can lead to a frenzied buying spree before reality sets in.