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Bitcoin's struggles a year after trump’s inauguration

Bitcoin Takes a Hit: One Year After Trump's Inauguration | Analysis of Crypto Market Decline

By

Grace Chen

Jan 20, 2026, 04:33 PM

Edited By

Maya Patel

2 minutes of reading

A graph showing Bitcoin's price declining with an overlay of a worried crowd looking at screens, reflecting uncertainty in the market due to political events.
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A year post Donald Trump's inauguration, Bitcoin is down 10% in USD and 20% in other currencies. Many are pointing fingers at Trump's influence, claiming he's jeopardized the market amid ongoing political turmoil.

Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a risky asset rather than a safe haven. The narrative that Bitcoin rivals precious metals has not held up in practice.

The Fallout from the White House

Trump’s political maneuvers have unnerved many investors. The so-called β€˜strategic uncertainty’ he brings has contributed to crypto's downward trajectory. Comments from forum users highlight a general discontent: "Whenever Bitcoin goes up Trump announces tariffs, and it drops immediately. It smells like market manipulation."

Despite the negativity, some in the community do not consider Bitcoin dead; instead, they believe it’s stagnating due to the political landscape. One commented, "It’s in limbo, unable to fly with its wings constantly being cut."

The Bigger Picture

Three major themes have emerged from the community's outrage:

  • The correlation of Trump's announcements with Bitcoin price dips, suggesting potential market manipulation.

  • Investors feeling exploited during a chaotic political climate, with insiders profiting from short-term fluctuations.

  • A sense of despair about the future of Bitcoin unless significant changes occur, including pressuring governmental endorsement.

"If you think last year has been chaotic, imagine what happens when he's staring down the exit."

User Perspectives: A Mixed Bag

The sentiment in online discussions reveals a mix of frustration and cautious optimism. While some blame Trump for the market's woes, others see broader economic factors at play. "Blaming one presidency might be oversimplifying it,” noted a user.

Others express skepticism about Bitcoin's long-term viability without significant institutional support.

Key Insights

  • πŸ”Ή Bitcoin is down 10% in USD since Trump’s inauguration.

  • πŸ”Ή Frequent political instability is keeping investors on edge.

  • πŸ”Ή "Many are profiting from panic selling."

  • πŸ”Ή The market may face continued uncertainty for the next three years.

As the crypto landscape evolves under Trump's administration, it raises the question: how will Bitcoin navigate the storm? Only time will tell.

Forecasting the Crypto Future

With Bitcoin's uncertain outlook, experts predict a challenging 2026. There's a strong chance the digital currency may continue to experience volatility, particularly as political decisions ripple through the market. Estimates suggest around a 60% probability that if Trump maintains his aggressive policies, Bitcoin could drop another 15% before stabilizing. Investors are likely to watch for any signs of institutional support, as a failure to secure this could prompt further panic selling, putting pressure on Bitcoin’s would-be recovery. Meanwhile, if the political climate shifts and stability begins to ease, Bitcoin could find itself bouncing back, although some analysts believe it might take as long as three years to regain its footing.

A Historical Lens on Financial Market Turbulence

Drawing a parallel to the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s offers valuable insights into today’s situation. Back then, the explosive growth of tech companies led to rampant speculation and significant losses when valuations collapsed. Many investors, much like today, felt the market was being manipulated by major players exploiting the chaos. Just as that tech boom eventually gave way to a more viable market environment, navigating this current political landscape may similarly require disruptive changes for Bitcoin to thrive again in the long run, blending caution with resilience.