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Ethereum breakdown risk: eth/usd may fall to $3000

Ethereum Faces Breakdown Risk | Will ETH Hit $3K Before a September Surge?

By

Sofia Kim

Aug 1, 2025, 06:39 PM

2 minutes of reading

A price chart depicting Ethereum's drop after hitting resistance, with indicators showing bearish trends
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Ethereum is under pressure following a failed breakout attempt at $3,900. The cryptocurrency has broken critical support levels, raising concerns about further declines. With bearish momentum building, experts are speculating a possible drop to $3,000 before a recovery in September.

Breakdown Details

The recent price action on the ETH/USD 4H chart indicates trouble for Ethereum. After testing the upper resistance of a symmetrical triangle pattern forming since mid-July 2025, the price was decisively rejected. Breaking below the ascending trendline support highlights a potential bearish scenario.

Market Indicators

  • MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is moving deeper into negative territory, crossing below the signal line. "More selling pressure is intensifying," commented one financial analyst.

  • Stochastic RSI: It sits in oversold territory, with lines flattening at the bottom. While a short-term bounce is possible, a lack of upward momentum suggests the downside has not fully exhausted.

  • Volume: A noticeable decline in trading volume during the pattern's formation reflects classic triangle characteristics. A surge in volume could confirm ETH's next direction.

Community Sentiment

Comments from Ethereum enthusiasts reveal mixed sentiments:

  • "Just got that feeling looking at the charts - a God candle might be brewing."

  • Others appear skeptical, reminiscing about past market predictions. "Remember when tariffs were going to destroy the US economy?"

Key Takeaways

  • πŸ”» ETH faces breakdown risks after hitting resistance at $3,900.

  • πŸ“‰ Experts foresee a correction to $3,000 due to bearish signals.

  • πŸ”„ "A dip before the massive surge, hopefully we break $4k this month!"

What's Next?

With the potential bearish continuation, the question looms: can Ethereum find support and push back to higher levels before September? As these developments unfold, Ethereum investors will be closely monitoring the situation for signs of recovery or more decline.

What Lies Ahead for Ethereum?

As Ethereum grapples with significant bearish signals, experts foresee a heightened likelihood of a drop to the $3,000 mark. Given the recent breakdown below key support levels, around a 70% chance exists that ETH will test this lower threshold before potentially rebounding in September. The bearish momentum is reinforced by the MACD and Stochastic RSI indicators, which suggest that any short-term recovery may lack the strength to drive prices back up immediately. However, should trading volume pick up, the outlook for Ethereum could shift, giving the cryptocurrency a fighting chance to reclaim its footing above $3,900 by the month's end.

A Lesson from the Unexpected

Consider the unpredictable nature of the dot-com bubble in the late '90s. Many once-prominent tech companies seemed destined for collapse after initial overvaluations. Just like Ethereum's current situation, this environment led to skepticism and doubt among many investors. Yet, out of that turmoil, certain companies emerged stronger after hitting low points, showcasing resilience. Similarly, Ethereum might navigate its challenges, setting the stage for a robust recovery if it can stabilize and rebuild trust among its investors.